Thomas L.
Friedman The New York Times Published: July 28, 2006
Damascus : Over
Turkish coffee the other morning, I picked up a copy of The Syria Times, the
local English-language paper, and my eye immediately went to a small box at the
top of the front page. It said, "The Middle East on the Eve of Modernity
P. 5."
I thought: What
a perfect way to describe the Middle East today - going back to some premodern
era? Alas, The Syria Times was not trying to be ironic. It turned out the
headline was the title of a book about Aleppo in the 18th century. But had it
been a news headline, it would have been apt.
Condoleezza
Rice must have been severely jet-lagged when she said that what's going on in
Lebanon and Iraq today were the "birth pangs of a new Middle East." Oh,
I wish it were so. What we are actually seeing are the rebirth pangs of the old
Middle East, only fueled now by oil and more destructive weaponry.
Some of the
most primordial, tribal passions, which always lurk beneath the surface here -
Sunnis versus Shiites, Jews versus Muslims, Lebanese versus Syrians - but are
usually held in check by modern states or bonds of civilization, are exploding
to the top.
There is
nothing that you can't do to someone in the Middle East today, and there is no
leader or movement - no Nelson Mandela and no million-mom march - coming out of
this region, or into this region, to put a stop to the madness.
And I mean
madness. We've seen Sunni Muslims in Iraq suicide-bomb a Shiite mosque on
Ramadan; we've seen Shiite militiamen torture Sunnis in Iraq by drilling holes
in their heads with power tools; we've seen Jordanian Islamist parliamentarians
mourning the terrorist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, even though he once blew up a
Jordanian wedding; we've seen hundreds of Palestinian suicide bombings of
Israeli cafés and buses; and we've seen Israel retaliating by, at times,
leveling whole buildings, with the guilty and the innocent inside.
Now we've
seen the Hezbollah leader, Hasan Nasrallah, take all of Lebanon into a
devastating, unprovoked war with Israel, just to improve his political standing
and take pressure off Iran.
America
should be galvanizing the forces of order - Europe, Russia, China and India -
into a coalition against these trends. But it can't. Why? In part, it's because
the U.S. president and secretary of state, although they speak with great moral
clarity, have no moral authority. That's been shattered by their performance in
Iraq.
The world
hates George W. Bush more than any U.S. president in my lifetime. He is
radioactive - and so caught up in his own ideological bubble that he is
incapable of imagining or forging alternative strategies.
In part, it
is also because China, Europe and Russia have become freeloaders off U.S.
power. They reap enormous profits from the post-Cold-War order that America has
shaped, but rather than become real stakeholders in that order, helping to draw
and defend redlines, they duck, mumble, waffle or cut their own deals.
This does
not bode well for global stability. A religious militia that calls itself
"the party of God" takes over a state and drags it into war, using
high-tech rockets - mullahs with drones - and the world is paralyzed. Those who
ignore this madness will one day see it come to a theater near them.
In part,
though, this madness is homegrown. I sat at a swank rooftop restaurant the
other night with some young Syrian writers and listened to a discussion between
a young woman dressed in trendy clothes, talking about how she would prefer to
see Israel disappear, another writer who argued that Nasrallah was an Arab
disaster, and an Arab journalist who described the "pride" and
"dignity" every Arab felt at seeing Hezbollah fight Israel to a
standstill.
When will
the Arab-Muslim world stop getting its "pride" from fighting Israel
and start getting it from constructing a society that others would envy, an
economy others would respect, and inventions and medical breakthroughs from
which others would benefit?
There will
be no new Middle East - not as long as the New Middle Easterners, like Rafik
Hariri, the former Lebanese prime minister, get gunned down; not as long as Old
Middle Easterners, like Nasrallah, use all their wits and resources to start a
new Arab-Israeli war rather than build a new Arab university; and not as long
as Arab media and intellectuals refuse to speak out clearly against those who
encourage their youth to embrace martyrdom with religious zeal rather than meld
modernity with Arab culture.
Without
that, we are wasting our time, and the Arab world is wasting its future. It
will forever be "on the eve of modernity."